Scott Karp has an interesting post up about how FUD is slowing the adoption of online advertising by a surprisingly large percentage of established businesses. His commentary is in response to a recently released McKinsey study on the perceptions and digital marketing plans of major corporations in five different sectors.
While Scott's reasoning is sound and more or less representative of the conventional wisdom among the digerati, it fails to acknowledge the fundamental structural barriers that are at the heart of what appears to those of us on this side of the digital advertising divide to be a maddeningly slow rate of adoption of online marketers.
In order to understand why it might be that many businesses appear slow to embrace the medium it's necessary to examine the value chain along which a particular business sits. Many of the largest companies with the most recognizable brands in the world do not sell directly to consumers. They sell to companies that in turn sell to consumers. Look within the pharmaceutical, apparel, and packaged goods industries and there are numerous F500 examples of corporations that spend billions of dollars on advertising but do not sell directly to consumers. What does an online "conversion" or "acquisition" or "action" really mean to a business with a model like this and how does one measure such things when they probably don't occur on a site in the control of the business?
What these businesses are attempting to do through advertising is reach as many people as possible with messages and enticements to get them to go to one of the many conveniently located and enticingly merchandised points of sale (POS) and buy their product.
The order "funnel" for businesses like these isn't nearly so attenuated. There isn't one point-of-sale or Website there are 10, 100, or 500 and only one (if they're lucky) is under their control. Another term for this reality is "channel conflict". Online advertising today is predominantly direct response and yet many of the world's largest businesses with the biggest brands aren't interested in or capable of running direct response campaigns.
Following are a couple of illustrative examples of the point I'm trying to make:
1. If you're the Charmin brand manager at P&G, does it make more sense to spend $10MM on TV or keywords+display?
2. If you're running the TV and Home Entertainment business at Sony, will your large retail customers like Best Buy be happy to find out that you're aggressively buying online media at the expense of fewer TV spots in their best markets? Do you have the metrics to show that your online ad campaign drove sales across channels for the majority of your customers?
Until recently, I had thought that traditional measures like reach and frequency would cease to be meaningful as soon as large advertisers discovered the wonders of performance marketing online. My thinking has changed on this topic for the simple fact that direct response advertising and marketing doesn't make sense for every industry and yet the planning, buying, and measurement of online advertising force us down that path.
There is a huge opportunity for businesses that can bridge the gap between the strategic value of advertising to a large number of companies and the manner in which the value of online advertising today is captured, measured, and evaluated.
Those of us in online advertising may yet have a thing or two to learn from "traditional" advertising.